Friday, November 21, 2008

By 2025, U.S. Won't Be Top World Power

This morning NPR had this fascinating story about the Global Trends 2025 report just issued by the National Intelligence Council.

Some see the report, released in time for Barack Obama's inauguration as U.S. president, as "frighteningly bleak." I think it's intriguing, and in some ways hopeful.

Says NPR:
The new study, titled "A Transformed World," projects a "multipolar" global landscape, where the United States is merely "one of a number of actors on the world stage" and where the U.S. dollar will only be "first among equals" in a basket of international currencies.

"We're thinking of it as the rise of the rest, rather than as the decline of the United States," said Thomas Fingar, chairman of the National Intelligence Council, as he introduced the report Thursday.


Some troubling trends predicted by the report include a rise in international conflict over food, energy, and other resources. On the other hand, while conflict over energy is likely to increase, a global shift away from fossil fuels will be taking place.

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